Image is from the Wikipedia article on the Sudanese Civil War.
Al-Fashir, the capital of North Darfur (a little east of that deep red zone in the west of the megathread map), is the last major holdout of the Sudanese government in that state, and is currently under siege by the RSF. Losing it would be a significant blow to the SAF, though given how the conflict lines are shaping up, it seems increasingly plausible that there will be a de facto - if not de jure - partition of Sudan, unless the military situation substantially changes. This is because the RSF have been pushed out of central Sudan, while the SAF are being pushed out of Western Sudan - although, the situation is pretty complex and has been known to change rapidly before.
As has been a constant feature of the Sudan Civil War - perhaps the single worst humanitarian crisis on the planet right now when measured by numbers - the civilian situation pales in comparison to the military situation, with hundreds of thousands of children dead from famine, and tens of millions of people experiencing extreme food insecurity.
Al-Fashir has been the destination of many thousands of refugees fleeing genocide, and food and aid supplies into the town are being explicitly blocked by the RSF, resulting in scenes similar to what is happening in Gaza right now. The big difference is that fleeing from major battle zones is at least somewhat of an option, though people are often caught and robbed or enslaved or trafficked while moving to neighbouring towns and cities - and these cities are often experiencing similar conditions to places that refugees are leaving.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
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The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
This is unbelieavably impossible sorry. As is everything else just that this just made me stop and comment despite having given up arguing or effort posting in this community. Maybe you should consider cross posting these to some reddit american military circlejerk subs because this fanfiction eclipses even the most unhinges posters here. Like, sorry if this is comming of as agressive or dismissive but i just didnt expect the doomerism in this sub to reach such comical degrees.
China has many cards to play with regards to avoiding encirclement. People always forget that the BRI is itself Plan B from Plan A, which is to break the island chains. And this doesn’t just mean reunification with Taiwan. It also means building a strong enough navy and making a blockade entirely unfeasible.
And this is all ignoring the very simple observation that the US is woefully unprepared for climate change compared to China. Just compare how China is able to mobilize their society when they got hit with climate change-induced floods with the US letting their populace rot when their cities got hit with climate change-induced fires a la LA. Climate change is a soft Chinese ally in this regard, and the US can’t just nuke or sanction this “Chinese ally” away.
I really wonder what the news mega would’ve been like during the HK riots. Probably the usual suspects malding about how XI not immediately sending in the PLA meant Xi is a virgin cuck or something equally stupid. Never mind that the riots had no chance of negatively impacting the Mainland outside of making Mainlanders unite over mutual hatred of Hong Kongers.
i’ve always appreciated your posts D: always felt like you had very balanced takes, do you post them elsewhere on the site/somewhere else on the internet?
as for darkcalling, they were always a little pessimistic but i think she’s gotten drastically worse about dooming in the last year or so, you’ve said this yourself before i believe, but i really think many people are understandably overwhelmed by the genocide in Palestine and their sense of helplessness in stopping it, then syria fell, then Iran did no avert military actions after True Promise 2 until they were literally forced to at gunpoint by isr*el and amerikkka, oh and hezbollah was totally unable to establish deterrence too, so on top of the rest of the horrible shit happening in the world, it would be more surprising for people not to inadvertently let their emotions cloud their analysis and have a view that is maybe too pessimistic. i think dark calling is especially bad about dooming because she is also trying to push back against the goofy “china can do no wrong crowd” that themselves i think forget they are on one of the most pro china spaces on the entire internet and they dont need to act like they are on reddit or some other anticommunist site.