Image is sourced from this Economist article.
Most of the information in this preamble is from the Cradle; notably here, here, here, and here.
The features of an effective American war (proxy or otherwise) is that it is a) against opponents with much less military power than you; b) with very low American losses; c) with victories you can visibly show off from time to time to justify involvement, and d) with a profit margin beyond merely giving money to military corporations. The war against Yemen was none of those; airplanes tumbled off aircraft carriers, and the navy complained of the hardest fighting conditions in decades. Conquering Yemen for its resources was inconceivable given the terrain, lack of good intelligence, and the strength of Ansarallah, and all that seemed to be visibly harmed were empty patches of desert and civilians.
Apparently, the ceasefire last month merely stipulated that they stop attacking merchant vessels in the Red Sea; it said nothing about attacking Israel. Therefore, Yemen is absolutely free to create a new blockade of Israel by just striking their airports and seaports, and all Israel can seem to do is try and bomb them in retaliation, a futile strategy which has failed to produce a military or political change in Yemen for the last decade when many other countries have tried it. And if America directly attacks them in response to attacks on Israel, the ceasefire is off, and expensive equipment will continue to be lost.
Across the strait from Yemen is an interesting array of countries. Egypt’s position in this war is well-known, and Somalia is under a kind of US occupation under the guise of fighting terrorism (Trump withdrew most troops, but they were then sent back under Biden). The other three are Sudan, Djibouti, and Eritrea. All three are increasingly being drawn into the anti-imperialist camp, as they cooperate with Iran, Russia, and/or China. Sudan is undergoing a civil war, but the rebels fighting the government are famously backed by the UAE. Djibouti has refused to allow themselves to be a launchpad for US strikes on Yemen.
Eritrea has a fascinating history of flip-flopping between West and East over the past few decades, but has, since 2020, sided with the East. It was one of the five countries to oppose the 2022 UN resolution condemning Russia’s war with Ukraine. Eritrea sends two thirds of its exports to China, and Iran has reportedly supplied them with military equipment. If a stronger link could be reforged, then Iran would have significantly less trouble sending military technology to Ansarallah, and to other friendly groups throughout the region.
Naturally, the lidless eye of the imperial core is shifting its gaze onto Eritrea. Meanwhile, Ethiopia - a country that has experienced frequent conflict with Eritrea - is part of BRICS+ and their economy is increasingly reliant on China (as is most countries’ economies nowadays). If a permanent resolution between the two could be created, it would be a victory for themselves and the Resistance, and a defeat for America, which thrives on conflict and destabilization.
Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
No him and all other pro-Ukraine chauvinist talking heads don’t mention the attacks on civilian targets that happened concurrently with Operation Web. That’s the point. It just further proves my point that he talks as if it never happened
Yeah,that I think is irresponsible
Overall I still think he does more good than harm,but he’s way into “anti war-ism” on the Ukraine issue
Anti-warism is an idealist, radliberal position that poisons the brains of westerners
This isn’t true at all. Leftism is inherently anti-war. Hence, “no war but class war”.
The problem is where the anti-war stance is misrepresented. Unless it is coming from someone inside of Russia (and possibly countries positioning themselves as allied to Russia), who has a chance of possibly affecting Russia’s ability to carry out the war through direct action and other political involvement, the stance that the solution is for Russia to back down is not an anti-war position; it is the exact opposite; it is the pushing of the “de-escalation through escalation” bullshit. It is a chauvinistic “our side will never back down” death pact.
The stance of people in Ukraine, the U.S., any NATO country—anywhere that potentially has influence over the Empire, really—must be to push Ukraine to back down in order to be authentically anti-war.
There’s also the more controversial leftist argument over whether states can be authentically anti-imperialist. But that’s really going to be a matter of whether you support the position I alluded to above for people who have potential political influence over nations which some people would consider “anti-imperialist nations” (due to the intermeshing of imperialism and class conflict, and also the fact that the Empire inherently has more power over, and responsibility toward, the prosecution and ending of wars than its targets). Like, that more controversial position comes up in the rarely seem question of whether Russian leftists should be cheering on and supporting the Russian military in nationalistic zeal, or trying to get Russia to negotiate and back down with as much fervor as Western leftists try to do so with U.S./NATO/Ukraine. We should all be able to agree, at the very least, that those who have the slightest chance at influencing the Empire to back down should do so. And that 100% includes Hasan Piker, who lives, acts, and practices social punditry within the U.S.
Class war is war, so this sentence is contradictory. We are pro-class war. We are also pro-wars of decolonization and fighting imperialists. Would you go up to a PFLP fighter and tell them “stop fighting Israel, no war but class war”? Ultras do that, and ultras are the primary anti-warism idealists. That is the strain of the westoid left we are talking about.
Russia’s war against Ukraine is not imperialist, it is in fact anti-imperialist. Even those inside of Russia should not attack Russia’s capability to wage war, which is the correct position of the Communist Party of Russia. Just like those inside Syria, Iraq and Libya should not have attacked their respective (capitalist) governments while they were under siege and invasion.
No, it’s not. Not in the sense the anti-war movement is talking about. Class war is not a war waged by nation-states, but describes the struggle of the global working class against capitalists and their system of capitalism.
And PFLP isn’t waging such a nation-state war; it is fighting colonialism and colonialist genocide. I would tell them to keep on fightin’.
The bit about whether those in Russia should oppose its war-making in Ukraine is what I mentioned at the end of my comment, where leftists may differ (but rarely even comes up). I intentionally didn’t launch into the sectarianism like you did; I just acknowledged and described it. Again, either way we should be able to agree on whether Hasan—a pundit, resident, and political actor in the U.S.—should push for the Empire (U.S./NATO/Ukraine) to back down. He should.
So when a nation state is targeted by imperialists it should not resist? Those in Iraq, Libya and Syria should not have fought the invaders?
For the second time you are going sectarian. I will state my position and you can fuck off with that shit: I am an anarchist; I don’t consider anything any nation-state does to be legitimate. Period. I have already stated quite clearly that I understand leftists may differ in this.
Now, back to the point: the anti-war position, where Hasan Piker is concerned, is being completely misrepresented. It is not anti-war for a USian to say Russia needs to back off. That is the opposite of an anti-war stance.