Almost 56% of Ukrainians are in favour of seeking a solution through compromise with the involvement of international leaders in order to end the war. Almost 17% of Ukranians are in favour of a temporary freeze of the war, and 21.4% want to continue the fight to restore the borders of 1991 or 2022.
What do we think is going to happen first? The current leadership surrendering to Russia, leading to a far-right coup (and possibly a mass revolt in retaliation), or a mass revolt as people become increasingly tired of war whole the current leadership doubles down?
I somehow doubt that in either case, the CIA and other NATO forces present in Ukraine won’t interfere to keep the war going. How long until western assets are literally firing on Ukrainian masses to force them to March to their deaths?
I expect that the most likely scenario is a military collapse on the front lines. After that the current regime will likely flee to the west and declare itself a government in exile. Russia will hold referendums to see which oblasts want to join Russia and leave the rest as Europe’s problem.