Kieselguhr [none/use name]

Give these two articles a good read:

Link 1

Link 2

This is the front page of the largest liberal news site:

“Good morning, Russia”

I wonder how many of the liberal news sites got money from the West, and this new law obviously puts them in a very difficult position…

Hungary is doing its own version of Foreign Agents Registration Act similar to Georgia (and the US)

Hungary’s Fidesz government has proposed a law targeting organizations deemed threats to national sovereignty, primarily those receiving foreign funding and critical of the government. These groups could face financial restrictions, mandatory asset declarations, and increased scrutiny. The government argues this protects Hungary from foreign interference, while critics fear it will stifle dissent and civil society.

The law empowers the Sovereignty Protection Office to blacklist organizations, triggering penalties like loss of tax donation eligibility and stricter oversight of foreign funding. A broad definition of “threats to sovereignty” raises concerns about targeting groups advocating for human rights or environmental protection. Banks will monitor listed organizations’ accounts, and the tax authority can suspend funds or demand their return. Critics compare the law to similar measures in Russia, fearing it will restrict freedom of expression and association. The law underscores tensions between national sovereignty and democratic liberties.

Tank movements are Fake

We’ve seen like two tanks on a street? Where are they, and where are they heading?

The footage might be real, but the narrative around it: “Hungary is actively working towards the potential invasion of Transcarpathia” that’s 100% part of the espionage game that became public last week

give the opposition a Push

Every opposition party in Hungary is pro-Nato basically, so yes, Ukraine doesn’t want the Hungarians to impede the EU in giving billions to Ukraine

there is never much in Media about Military movements

No, it’s just strange because this is very much in the news cycle right now, the opposition leader is saying Orban secretly wants war with Ukraine, and Orban’s party accusing the opposition leader to be an inside man for both the EU and the Ukrainian secret service

Like this is very much the top story right now this espionage angle, but then this espionage angle is about whether the Hungarian state did any preparations in order to invade Transcarpathia, so I’m pretty sure the Hungarian liberal/opposition media would jump on the fact that the Hungarian army is doing anything out of the ordinary at the border. (And they did cover the drone being shot down)

And the sources you’ve posted is a noname twitter handle, who retweeted an Ukrainian OSINT tweet and a Greek newspaper. For all we know the original Ukrainian OSINT tweet is actually the Ukrainian secret service planting the story themselves

edit:

I’ve opened the link again, and the source is not OSINT but Euromaidan itself. Before I was like 20% sure it was a planted story by the SBU, now I’m more like 90%

So there’s nothing about this in Hungarian media, and the Hungarian liberals are very keen to prove that Orban wants war against Ukraine. With that said with the current scandal I wouldn’t be surprised if they sent a couple of tanks to the Ukrainian border, hardly a massive military presence though. Any state would be idiotic not to deploy additional forces to its border with a nation currently at war.

There was an air force military exercise happening lately, and there was this:

However, there is a unanimous opinion that what is happening is part of a months-long intelligence game, parts of which have already become public. Our sources also attribute to this same game the incident that happened last week but was not publicized: the Hungarian Defense Forces’ radar in Tokaj detected drones flying into Hungary, one of which was shot down. The Hungarians suspect that the drones came from Ukraine.

and this:

However, our sources maintain that a Ukrainian intelligence operation did indeed occur, and after Hungarian national security agencies leaked this information, the Ukrainian services began to feel the pressure. We understand that they have mobilized significant resources to uncover the sources who are providing information to the Hungarian services.

Given that Hungarian counterintelligence has also been extremely active against Ukrainian intelligence recently, our sources do not rule out the possibility that the Ukrainians carried out a so-called “preemptive strike” with Friday’s announcement, meaning they struck first. The operation appears pre-planned and well-coordinated, as our information suggests that when the Hungarian leadership was informed about it on Friday morning, the international media had already sent them questions.

Considering that in these kinds of intelligence games, both sides, Ukrainian and Hungarian, may have an interest in discrediting the other or engaging in disinformation, these stories are particularly susceptible to requiring a high degree of skepticism when evaluating information. However, it is clear that there is serious tension between the services of the two countries, and in recent times, more Ukrainian intelligence officers than before have been detected in Hungary. “There will likely be a response to the Ukrainians’ recent move,” our sources said.

Hungary currently amass its Army on his western borders now.

“Amass” is a strong word, what is your source? Currently there’s an espionage scandal going on, and they try to use it to influence the next election.

The Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) claims to have uncovered what it calls a Hungarian military spy network in western Ukraine and arrested two Hungarian citizens. The Ukrainian newspaper Kyiv Post and the Swedish TV channel Svt Nyheter, citing the SBU, reported that the two arrested individuals were recruited by the Hungarian secret service to carry out the operations. They were previously employed by the Ukrainian army and are now charged with treason, they wrote.

“The task was to gather information on the military security of Transcarpathia, to find vulnerable points in the region’s land and air defense, and to study the socio-political views of the local population: in particular, scenarios for their behavior if Hungarian troops enter the region,” the SBU wrote.

We contacted the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade to find out if they confirm the information and how they comment on it, and we will report it as soon as we receive an answer.

According to SBU information, the recruiter of the two arrested agents is a member of the Hungarian counterintelligence, whose exact identity is also known, but the public report does not mention it.

About one of the arrested agents, it is revealed that he is 40 years old, once served as a soldier in the Beregszász district, and was a sleeper agent who was recruited in 2021 and activated last September, Unian wrote.

update:

Hungary has expelled two Ukrainian diplomats who were operating as spies at the embassy in Budapest. This action comes in response to what Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó called Kyiv’s persistent smear campaigns against Hungary.

Is there anything definitive about the Bucha massacre?

Obviously I am very sceptical about atrocity propaganda from the West, but it’s not like Russian soldiers are above killing civilians… (still, the war in Ukraine seems like a different kind of war than Gaza which is purely oppressive ethnic cleansing)

I remember couple months after the news came out Seth Harp said that all the Western journalists reporting on the Bucha massacre got a curated picture of it (as in it was not some kind of investigative journalism that uncovered it, but the Ukrainian National News Agency put them on the bus like a group of tourists and led them to the [purported] scene of the massacre and Azov corralled them around the village.)