We are headed to 3.7°C.
Edit: I say this because once I saw a twitter video of a French Oil and Gas CEO say their internal projections put us at 3.0+ºC
Damn who knew the worst case scenario would be the new normal!!!
I think we are going to see geo-engineering soon.
Within the century
I personally think 3.0 is more likely by the end of the century with the next one reaching 4.5. Not that my country will exist in a recognizable way by that point.
6.9°C
we’re headed for 6.9°C
I don’t think we’ll be headed for anything if we pass 2.0. Earth might hit 6.9, we won’t be there to measure that.
The whole world is still pretending we’re not gunning it full speed ahead to total ecological collapse in the name of capitalism…
Wow you alarmists are so dramatic. You expect me to pay more and rely on government for something that our generation won’t even see? They said it was global cooling in the 70’s. Global cooling! And now you expect me to believe it’s getting warmer?
300 million years ago the earth day was only 18 hours long, caterpillars were the size of a school bus, and Antarctica was a swamp therefore we will be fine
there is nothing we can do to prevent the inevitability of our own demise and all human endeavors are destined to be erased from existence on a long enough time scale. that’s why we can’t have socialism and must maintain the status quo at all costs.
Umm what, do you think socialism can do any better? Haven’t you heard of Lake Baikal? /s
(Paraphrasing my instructor from environmental science 100)
Those who grew up before the year 2000 literally experienced a different planet than all who came after
It was the ending of a brutal civil war for me. Oddly enough, I’m probably living the most peaceful life I’ve had since then. If I die to climate change then at least I’ll know I enjoyed temporary peace.
God I miss having seasons
I really miss winter
And I miss when summer wasn’t just 4 month of forest fire smoke
Under Biden domestic oil production dropped by like 2M (due to covid), from all time highs, and everyone lost their minds. Oil companies will raise prices under any President who event hints at climate actions. That works because those people immediately capitulate and increase production. Obviously that means the other team will go hard the other way and just ramp up production until your tap water turns black and spontaneously combusts.
I think about LA, a major city where millions live and they still extract oil next to schools, people’s houses, etc. They didn’t even pass an ordinance to stop building new wells/derricks until 2023. And even then it was a 20-year phase out plan and not immediate. So a city where they have a history of high school water supplies being poisoned by an active well next to the football field, won’t even take action. Even the greedy real estate speculators can’t stop chevron from pumping oil in the parking lot of a cheesecake factory. it’s wild how much oil is still in control over everything.
All that to say is we’re going to blow past predictions. That whole fantasy we have of everyone coming to their senses at 3c is too optimistic. Nobody is going to be aware of anything even when we do 5 or 6c. It’s just going to be terrible things happening and everyone asking why while shooting the people with answers.
Well, obviously those numbers are wrong! We signed, (well a lot of countries did anyway), an ACCORD
we should just stop measuring tbh, it worked for COVID
NOAA’s budget for climate science is being cut, so yeah that plan is already in motion
The climate change playbook is essentially just the COVID playbook in slow motion, so I agree, banning thermometers is more likely than any western country doing anything of substance.
Could you please link the source? This info is extremely important to be able to share
Leon Simons, a climate researcher. Formerly at NOAA iirc. Data is compiled from here, although I don’t know how to grab it myself. First pic I posted is a just bit more readable.
Don’t look at the numbers, they are scary, if you ignore them they can’t hurt you
I have to say, I am partial to graphs. Just show me a line going
like god intended.
Just turn the AC unit on or smth
So waaaay back in the year of our Lord 2014, a little organization called the IPCC was putting together its fifth climate change assessment report. It included what is now considered the wildly pessimistic RCP8.5 emissions pathway. Under that pathway, global temperatures were expected to exceed 1.5 C on average by the 2030s.
You have to knock about half a degree off their charts to compare to this one because the 1986-2005 average is about half a degree over the pre-industrial average.
Wait that’s brilliant, global warming is solved, just keep moving the baseline! /s
There’s already disagreement over what the “preindustrial baseline” actually is and folks outside of climatology will just choose a nice-sounding 20-25 year interval between 1960 and 2010, so you’re pretty much on the money.
“Well, Doctor, I get these disturbing visions every time I say the word…”
Anomaly.
